Tuesday, May 21, 2019

I Don't Like Where College Basketball and Football are Going

College sports has began a significant shift in what things might look like in a few years. College Football is turning into a two team sport with Alabama or Clemson running away with things in football and College Basketball implanting 20 game conference schedules starting the year next will create more power to the major conference teams.

My first reaction is that it is very scary. What will it look like when there are no ore one and dones in College basketball? There are 351 teams competing to play in the Final four next year but only a small fraction have a realistic chance.

College football is smaller at about 130 teams but the ratio is almost the same. I don't like where this is going, we need a solution and the only thing I can think of is a 4 team College Football Non Power 5 playoff.

Neutral site games are controlling the marquee non conference slate in college football including an opening clash between the Oregon Ducks and the Auburn Tigers. It's a bigger game for Oregon
considering Auburn has the Iron Bowl at home this year. For Oregon, 2015 seems like decades ago while their BCS loss to Auburn seems like ages ago.

Coach Cristobal is building something at Oregon but we don't know what yet. For a Pac 12 team to make the CFP everything has to fall into place. The Pac 12 doesn't get respected. It's hard enough to go 9-0 in conference let alone 13-0. A 12-1 Pac 12 team basically has a 50/50 chance at making the CFP.

I mean, four teams and five major conferences is going to make it hard but I think it was designed like this. They want teams scheduling tough games. I just think with some conferences playing nine games and some eight, some conferences playing a championship game and some not  has made SOS and all this other stuff has made everything an unfair advantage.

For instance, if Washington plays Alabama and loses and loses to Oregon. They finish 10-2. Oregon might play a weak conference schedule and beat Washington but loses only one. Oregon finishes 12-1 because they win the Pac 12 Title game. On the morning of the CFP selection show, Oregon is higher in the CFP standings. Likely between 4-6. The would be on the bubble. Washington at 10-2 is not inconsideration because of their two losses.

Anyone see what I'm seeing? Scheduling is important if you have 0 or 1 loses but if a power 5 school goes 13-0 against three easy no conference teams, they would most likely get in.

I actually feel bad for teams like Wake Forest and Kansas that will never see their team in a CFP. I guess until we get our next shift in power in CFB or more conference realignment, we are stuck in a era that I'm not proud of. In either sport and my fear is that it is going to get better before it gets worse.

 

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